Binance Research: "Cryptocurrency Decline Due to 'US Stock Market Fund Concentration'... Bottom to Form Within 20 Weeks"
Binance Research recently analyzed that the weakness in the virtual asset market, including Bitcoin, is not due to a structural collapse within the crypto secto
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- Binance Research recently analyzed that the weakness in the virtual asset market, including Bitcoin, is not due to a structural collapse within the crypto secto
Binance Research recently analyzed that the weakness in the virtual asset market, including Bitcoin, is not due to a structural collapse within the crypto sector, but rather a 'fund concentration phenomenon' where global liquidity is strongly flowing into the US stock market.
As evidence to support this, Binance Research presented the 'Cboe S&P 500 Dispersion Index,' which shows the extreme thematic concentration in the US stock market. Currently, this index has surged to 42, recording the third-highest level in history. A high figure indicates that rather than the overall stock market rising evenly, buying pressure and trading volume are abnormally concentrated in a specific few stocks or themes. In fact, funds are currently in a state of selectively flocking only to a few distinct mega-trends, such as artificial intelligence (AI), semiconductors, defense, energy, and raw materials.
Based on past data, Binance Research explained that following such macroeconomic fund concentration phenomena, Bitcoin quickly formed a bottom. An analysis of past cases where thematic concentration in the US stock market reached extremes showed that Bitcoin generally formed a market bottom within 0 to 20 weeks.