Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) have entered a short-term rebound, but their indicator trends are diverging. Bitcoin showed an advantage in ultra-short-term momentum and large-scale capital flows, while Ethereum led in 7-day returns and moving average structure. Rather than one-sided strength on either side, the balance of power shifts depending on the time frame.

As of the 13th, based on Binance 1-hour candles, Bitcoin was trading at $77,244.01 and Ethereum at $2,525.12. Ethereum edged slightly ahead on the day, with Bitcoin up 0.10% and Ethereum up 0.17%.

Ethereum Leads in 7-Day Returns... Gap of 5.85 Percentage Points

Widening the time frame to the past 7 days makes the difference clearer. Bitcoin fell 3.03%, while Ethereum rose 2.82%. On a simple calculation, the 7-day return gap between the two assets is 5.85 percentage points. This shows that Ethereum's relative strength was more solid than Bitcoin's during the recent market correction.

Bitcoin Ahead in Ultra-Short-Term Momentum and Supply-Demand

However, Bitcoin is somewhat ahead in ultra-short-term momentum. The RSI(6) stood at 48.91 for Bitcoin and 45.90 for Ethereum. Both assets rebounded from recently lower RSI levels, but on current figures alone, Bitcoin's recovery strength is relatively higher.

Supply-demand flows also diverge. Bitcoin recorded a net inflow of 1,271.95 BTC in 1-day large-order flows. In contrast, Ethereum posted a net outflow of 4,354.67 ETH in 1-day large-scale capital flows. With Ethereum's moving averages and 7-day returns solid, a burden remains in its short-term capital flows.

MACD Shows Caution Signals for Both

On the MACD, caution signals remain for both assets. Bitcoin is 3 candles past a dead cross, and Ethereum is 5 candles past, with both MACD histograms remaining in negative territory. This is why it is difficult to conclude that the short-term trend has fully turned bullish despite the partial price rebound.

Moving Average Structure in Bullish Alignment for Ethereum

In terms of moving averages, Ethereum's structure is relatively superior. Ethereum's current price sits above MA7, MA25, and MA99, maintaining a bullish alignment.

Bitcoin's situation is different. MA7 stands at $77,229.85, close to the current price, but MA25 is at $77,270.99 and MA99 at $77,833.41, both above the current price. Bitcoin still needs to reclaim its medium- and long-term moving averages, making its trend structure weaker compared to Ethereum.

That said, not all of Ethereum's indicators point in the same direction. The Supertrend indicates a downward direction at $2,551.05.

Common Weakness Is Trading Volume... Rebound Reliability Needs Confirmation

What both assets commonly lack is trading volume. Recent 1-hour volume stood at about 54% of the 7-hour average for Bitcoin and about 41% for Ethereum. It is still too early to assess that market participation is strongly following the price rebound, as volume confirmation is insufficient.

Ultimately, the current competitive landscape between Bitcoin and Ethereum varies depending on the time frame. In the ultra-short term, Bitcoin's resilience stands out, backed by RSI and large-scale net capital inflows. Meanwhile, in the recent 7-day trend and moving average structure, Ethereum looks more solid than Bitcoin. Going forward, what matters more than simple price gains will be whether trading volume accompanies the move, and whether each asset recovers its moving averages and short-term trend benchmarks. Based on current indicators alone, rather than concluding that either side has secured a clear advantage, it is appropriate to view this as a mixed flow where BTC leads in short-term supply-demand and ETH leads in recent relative strength.

[This article is for informational purposes, written based on publicly available market data and technical indicators. It does not recommend the purchase, sale, or holding of any specific virtual asset, and virtual asset prices can be highly volatile. Scenarios based on technical analysis do not guarantee actual market movements. Investment decisions and responsibility rest with the investor, and this article was written with the help of AI.]